Each one in plain English, with the numbers worked through for a shareholder.
30 Aug 2018investor presentation● Neutral
Managing Director letter and shareholder update restate Dorado as the breakthrough discovery, with follow-on targets to be presented shortly. Buffalo PSC talks with Australian and Timor-Leste governments are described as making solid progress. AGM set for November. Mostly repeats known items.
Annual report for the year to June 2018 is largely unreadable in this extract (garbled text). Readable parts note the Dorado oil discovery, Phoenix South reaching target depth in August with hydrocarbons, Buffalo redevelopment progress, and Gavin Ryan joining the board.
Appendix 4G confirms Carnarvon's corporate governance statement for the year to 30 June 2018 is on its website and was board-approved as at 28 August 2018. Administrative filing accompanying the annual report; no new business information.
Carnarvon commented on Santos's planned US$2.15bn cash acquisition of Quadrant, its Phoenix partner holding 70-80%. It welcomes Santos as incoming partner, notes the value attributed to Phoenix is not disclosed, and cites Dorado 2C oil as third largest on the North West Shelf.
Carnarvon replied to an ASX aware query about the timing of its 13 August Phoenix South-3 update. It noted the share price rose from 17.5c on 13 July to an intraday high of 69.5c on 8 August, with volumes far above normal. Compliance matter; outcome not stated here.
This is a third-party release by 3D Oil about its own permit WA/527-P, ~80 km from Dorado-1, saying Dorado results raise its oil potential. It carries no new Carnarvon information or change to Carnarvon's interests.
Chair's letter to shareholders recaps strategy and Phoenix results, saying Dorado oil is now the focus over Phoenix South gas condensate. Restates Buffalo plans: 31 MMbbl mean recoverable volume, Buffalo-10 targeted 2019. Mostly repeats known items; no new announcement.
Phoenix South-3 found a 131 m gross hydrocarbon column in the Caley, but only ~16 m net reservoir at 8% porosity. Sampling recovered no hydrocarbons, and permeability was at the low end of expectations. Core analysis over months must show whether it can flow commercially; rig being released.
Phoenix South-3 drilled to ~5,393 m MD through the Caley; logging-while-drilling showed porous sandstones with elevated gas and resistivity at ~5,200-5,300 m, indicating hydrocarbons. Wireline logging is next to confirm fluids and reservoir quality. Early positive sign, not yet confirmed.
Wireline logging at Dorado-1 found more light oil in the Crespin (22 m net) and Milne (18 m net) Members, lifting total net hydrocarbon pay to 132 m across four zones. Adds to the July Caley oil discovery; volume estimate to follow.
Phoenix South-3 (CVN 20%) has set its 7-5/8in liner at ~5,205 m MD and is drilling ahead at ~5,210 m, expecting the Caley. It will go to ~5,500 m, with slower controlled drilling because PS-2 could not fully evaluate the Caley. No result yet.
Gavin Ryan, a lawyer with BHP Petroleum, BP, PTTEP and Shell experience, joined the board as a non-executive director (appointed 30 July 2018) with no CVN securities. The company says this adds legal and commercial skills, including PSC and Buffalo field experience.
Dorado-1 has set its 7in liner at ~4,044 m MD and drilled to ~4,620 m. Crespin and Milne sandstones show elevated gas and resistivity, indicating hydrocarbons. Total depth is raised to ~4,650 m, followed by wireline logging.
More wireline work confirmed Dorado-1's ~80 m net Caley oil column and found 10.5 m net pay of gas and condensate at the top of the Baxter, a separate stacked column. The Baxter result is interim, and drilling continues to ~4,550 m.
Phoenix South-3 has set 9-5/8in casing at ~5,165 m MD and drilled to ~5,208 m, with results consistent with PS-2. It is preparing a 7-5/8in liner, then 6-1/8in hole to ~5,500 m, with slower controlled drilling through the reservoir. No Caley result yet.
Dorado-1 found a significant oil discovery in the Caley: 79.6 m net pay in a 96.1 m column, light 49.6° API oil, no water contact. This was previously expected as gas-condensate; a revised contingent oil resource is promised after drilling. Baxter sands also hydrocarbon-bearing.
Re-release of the 12 July Dorado-1 update (same text, still dated 12 July): hydrocarbon indications in the Caley from logging-while-drilling, drilling at ~3,990 m MD. No new information.
Dorado-1 logging-while-drilling showed sandstones with elevated gas readings and higher resistivity from ~3,853 to 3,947 m MD in the Caley, indicating hydrocarbons. Definitive results need wireline logging. Early encouraging sign; the well continues to ~4,575 m.
Dorado-1 has set its 9-5/8in liner at about 3,637 m MD and is drilling 8-1/2in hole at ~3,640 m. The Caley is expected before about 4,050 m MD. No hydrocarbon results yet.
Phoenix South-3 (CVN 20%) is at 5,041 m MD, slower than planned due to inspection and maintenance and slow drilling through the seal rock. Caley now expected near 5,183 m MD, earlier than the ~5,360 m guided. Formations are close to prognosis and similar to PS-2.
Dorado-1 (CVN 20%) has drilled 12-1/4in hole to about 3,637 m MD; next it will run the 9-5/8in liner and drill 8-1/2in hole into the Caley target. Caley top was previously expected near 3,800 m. No hydrocarbon results yet.
Dorado-1 has set 13-3/8-inch casing at 1,162 m MD and is drilling 12.25-inch hole at about 1,250 m. The Caley top is expected near 3,800 m MD. No hydrocarbon results yet.
Phoenix South-3 has set the 11-3/4-inch liner at 4,619 m MD and is drilling 10-5/8-inch hole at 4,634 m. Caley top still expected near 5,360 m MD. No new results.
Shareholder update says the A$20m raising brings total cash to A$65m and that Buffalo-10 is on track for 2019 drilling. It restates Buffalo (31 MMbbl 2C, over US$2.3bn revenue, under A$150m capex) and says positive Phoenix South-3 or Dorado-1 results could allow equity reduction. No new results.
Dorado-1 (CVN 20%, operator Quadrant) has started drilling, with the 30-inch casing set and 17.5-inch hole next. It targets the Caley at 545 Bscf plus 30 MMbbl condensate (125 MMboe Pmean), under 20 km from the Roc wells.
The share purchase plan was oversubscribed and will be scaled back pro-rata, completing the A$4m SPP. Together with the 11 May placement, this makes the A$20m raising complete. Allotment is 6 June.
Phoenix South-3 is drilling at 4,352 m MD after setting 13 5/8-inch casing. The Caley depth is now expected at about 5,360 m MD (previously ~5,300 m). No hydrocarbon results yet.
The Ensco-107 rig is near the Dorado-1 site, waiting for swell to ease before moving on location, at no cost to Carnarvon. Spud is therefore not yet under way, against the before-end-May plan. Phoenix South-3 is setting casing at 3,733 m.