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Sierra Metals Inc.

TSX:SMTUS:SMTSUS:SMTSFUS:DBEXF
No current share price held for this company.

Past year: ▲ 68%(65.0c – 1.20 CAD)

Market cap
—
Shares on issue
—
Story beats
45 since 2017
Last event
15 Dec 2022

History

Sierra Metals spent years drafting expansion studies for its three mines and paid a first dividend in 2021, then a fatal Yauricocha mudslide in 2022 pushed it into a liquidity crisis and strategic review.

2017-2018: Drilling success and a flood of studies

Sierra Metals, formerly Dia Bras, operated three underground mines: Yauricocha in Peru, and Bolivar (copper) and Cusi (silver) in Mexico. In 2017 the story was exploration. A new Escondida zone at Yauricocha was called the largest orebody found there, and drilling at Bolivar hit copper in zones not previously known. In September and October 2017 Yauricocha's measured and indicated resources rose 68% and its reserves more than doubled. The company said part of the copper gain came from a 14% higher copper price assumption, not new metal.

Cusi's resources rose 129% in January 2018, partly because of a change in how silver-equivalent ounces were counted. Bolivar's reserves rose 83% in May, again helped by assumption changes. Then came three expansion studies in three weeks: Cusi in stages from 650 to 1,200 and then 2,700 tonnes a day (US$92.2 million after-tax value), Yauricocha to 5,500 (US$393 million) and Bolivar to 5,000 (US$214 million). Together they contemplated about US$439 million of capital, far beyond what the company was then spending. Drilling at Yauricocha also confirmed a copper-molybdenum porphyry, a different scale of target sitting under the operating mine, in October 2018.

2018-2019: Permits and a bank facility

In December 2018 Peru's environmental authority, SENACE, did not approve the Yauricocha tailings (mine waste) study, which held up lifting output 20% to 3,600 tonnes a day. It approved the study in February 2019, and the construction permit for the next tailings lift followed in June. In March 2019 Sierra closed a US$100 million, six-year senior secured facility with Banco de Credito del Peru, partly to repay existing debt and partly for Mexican projects. Share count stayed near 163 million through this period. At the end of 2019 Bolivar's indicated resource was cut 12% when a cut-off was lowered, a reversal of the earlier boosts.

2020: Cash returns, then COVID-19

In January 2020 the board approved returning up to US$30 million to shareholders, including a US$15 million issuer bid. Within weeks COVID-19 intervened. Yauricocha stopped mining on 17 March, and on 1 April Mexico's suspension left Bolivar on an essential crew and Cusi in care and maintenance. The company suspended its 2020 guidance and deferred capital programs. Suspensions were extended in April, with Yauricocha planned to restart on 11 May.

A high-grade silver find at Cusi in June, including 17.45 metres at 428 g/t silver, preceded Cusi's restart in July under new chief executive Luis Marchese. The year ended with more studies: Bolivar at 10,000 tonnes a day (US$283 million), Yauricocha at 5,500 (US$333 million, filed at US$359 million) and Cusi at 2,400 (US$81 million).

2021: Permits, a plant and a dividend

Yauricocha received its environmental permit in March and the final mining permit in June 2021, allowing 3,600 tonnes a day. In April the board approved US$28 million for a magnetite plant at Bolivar, making iron ore fines from the existing copper concentrator. It was the first hard capital commitment behind any expansion study. A reworked Bolivar study that counted iron ore lifted its value to US$361 million. In November the company declared its first annual dividend of US$0.03 a share on about 163.4 million shares.

2022: Mudslide, liquidity crisis and a merger approach

In January 2022 a reworked Yauricocha case came out at US$273.1 million, below the earlier US$359 million, on fuller cost estimates. In April drilling found the Fortuna zone, with 27.22% zinc over 4.90 metres.

On 11 September 2022 a mudslide at Yauricocha killed three contractors and injured one, and mining was suspended. Residents of Alis blockaded the access road on 22 September; an agreement on 28 September allowed a gradual restart, but the company could not say when earlier output would return and kept guidance withdrawn.

On 18 October the company acknowledged liquidity problems, citing the suspension and losses at Bolivar and Cusi, and formed a special committee to consider financing and restructuring. Kolpa, a Peruvian miner, and Arias Resource Capital Fund II, which the letter said held about 27% of Sierra, sent a non-binding merger proposal. In November the board folded them into a strategic review run by CIBC Capital Markets and invited other bidders. On 15 December 2022 the shares were voluntarily delisted from the Lima exchange, leaving the Toronto listing. At that date the strategic review and the Kolpa/Arias proposal remained unresolved.

Written from the 45 story beats below (2017 to 15 Dec 2022), which come from the company's own announcements and filings.

Beat by beat

The events that changed the company's story, in plain English, each written against everything known about the company at the time. The dot shows whether it was good, bad or neutral for shareholders.

shares on issue market cap (log scale)

2022163m shares · C$39.2m market cap

  1. 15 Dec

    Peru's securities regulator approved the voluntary removal of the shares from the Lima Stock Exchange effective 15 December 2022, leaving the Toronto listing. A retreat from the market of the country that hosts Yauricocha, taken while the company was in a strategic review and facing the Kolpa approach.

    listing compliance notice

    163m shC$39.2m
  2. 14 Nov

    Kolpa and Arias Resource Capital pressed their proposal in further correspondence. The board's answer is to fold them into the wider strategic review run by CIBC Capital Markets rather than negotiate bilaterally, and to invite other interested parties to bid - the standard defence when a 27% shareholder is also the suitor.

    material agreement

    163m shC$45.8m
  3. 31 Oct

    Received an unsolicited, non-binding letter of intent from Peru's Compania Minera Kolpa proposing a merger with a concurrent financing, submitted together with Arias Resource Capital Fund II, which the letter says already holds about 27% of Sierra's shares. A special committee of independent directors, formed as part of the strategic review that followed the Yauricocha shutdown, is considering it - so the company's largest shareholder is on the buyer's side of the table.

    material agreement

    163m shC$45.8m
  4. 18 Oct

    The turn from an operating problem to a solvency one: a special committee of independent directors was formed to consider financing and restructuring alternatives because the company faces liquidity problems from the Yauricocha suspension plus accumulated operating losses and negative cash flow at Bolivar and Cusi. Most of Yauricocha remains shut with no timeline, and the company warns that without additional funding its ability to operate in the ordinary course may be affected - a year after paying its first dividend.

    other material event

    163m shC$114m
  5. 28 Sept

    Reached agreement with the Alis residents and began a measured, progressive restart at Yauricocha, but the company states it cannot say when pre-suspension output will be reached and keeps production and financial guidance withdrawn.

    production update

    163m shC$96.4m
  6. 22 Sept

    Residents of the nearby town of Alis blockaded the access road to Yauricocha, keeping production suspended beyond the safety shutdown, with only critical maintenance running. A community dispute now sits on top of the fatal accident.

    production update

    163m shC$96.4m
  7. 12 Sept

    A mudslide underground at Yauricocha on 11 September 2022 killed three contractor employees and injured one. Mining was suspended pending an investigation by the Peruvian authorities. Yauricocha is the company's largest and most profitable mine, and this is the event from which everything that follows runs.

    production update

    163m shC$96.4m
  8. 29 Apr

    Eight holes from the 720 level found the Fortuna zone next to existing Yauricocha workings, with 27.22% zinc over 4.90 metres and 12.94% zinc over 2.85 metres in ECF 10 22 02, and 6.41% copper with 3.51% zinc over 4.80 metres in ECF 10 22 05; true widths are not yet determined. It is the last exploration success reported before the mine's September 2022 collapse.

    drilling result

    163m shC$211m
  9. 20 Jan

    Reworked the Yauricocha expansion case on the March 2021 resource and with prefeasibility-level cost estimates: after-tax net present value of US$273.1 million at 8%, down from the US$359 million filed in December 2020, on US$102.2 million of development capital in the first three years, US$312.1 million of total capital and an operating cost of US$44.01 a tonne. Better costings made the same project worth less, and the mine plan now leans on inferred resources.

    resource reserve update

    163m shC$283m

2021163m shares · C$565m market cap

  1. 16 Aug

    Updated the 10,000 tonne-a-day Bolivar study to include iron ore concentrate, lifting after-tax NPV at 8% from US$283 million to US$361 million. The incremental value of iron ore plus expanding from 5,000 to 10,000 tonnes a day was put at US$78.2 million, up from US$57.4 million.

    resource reserve update

    163m shC$565m
  2. 16 June

    Sierra received the final mining permit (ITM) from Peru's Ministry of Energy and Mines, allowing Yauricocha to build and operate at 3,600 tonnes a day, which the company called a 20% throughput increase. It arrived in the second quarter as expected, and the 5,500 tonne-a-day prefeasibility study (from 2024) was still being completed.

    regulatory community update

    163m shC$692m
  3. 21 Apr

    Board approved US$28 million to build a magnetite plant at Bolivar, with US$5.2 million released immediately for early procurement, to produce about 500,000 tonnes a year of 62% iron ore fines as a by-product of the existing copper concentrator. Construction was to start in June and take roughly six months - the first hard capital commitment behind any of the expansion studies.

    material agreement

    163m shC$643m
  4. 16 Mar

    Sierra received the environmental permit (an ITS) from Peru's environment ministry agency SENACE, the second-to-last step to lift Yauricocha's permitted throughput 20% to 3,600 tonnes a day. This is the ITS filing left outstanding after the February 2019 tailings approval; one final mining permit (ITM) is still needed, which the CEO expects in the second quarter of 2021. Management also says the Yauricocha prefeasibility study for 5,500 tonnes a day (starting 2024) and the Bolivar (10,000 tpd) and Cusi (2,400 tpd) prefeasibility studies are still being completed.

    regulatory community update

    163m shC$545m

2020162m shares · C$631m market cap

  1. 10 Dec

    The third expansion study of the season, doubling Cusi to 2,400 tonnes a day for an after-tax net present value of US$81 million at 8%, assuming US$20 an ounce silver long term, and US$134 million of net after-tax cash flow. The step from 1,200 to 2,400 tonnes contributes US$28.1 million of that at a 46.8% return.

    resource reserve update

    162m shC$631m
  2. 8 Dec

    Filing the Yauricocha report improved the headline: the after-tax net present value in the final document is US$359 million, 7.8% above the US$333 million announced three weeks earlier. Unusually for these filings, the report does differ from the press release, and in the company's favour.

    resource reserve update

    162m shC$631m
  3. 18 Nov

    Yauricocha's measured and indicated resource tonnage rose 26% and inferred 79%, to 16 million and 12 million tonnes - the largest in the mine's history and, as management notes, achieved after mining 9.1 million tonnes since the 2011 acquisition, when indicated resources were 5 million tonnes. The accompanying study puts an after-tax net present value of US$333 million at 8% on expanding from the permitted 3,150 tonnes a day to 5,500, having tested cases up to 7,500 and settled on 5,500 as the optimum for the resource base.

    resource reserve update

    162m shC$405m
  4. 20 Oct

    A fresh Bolivar study, this time for 10,000 tonnes a day rather than the 5,000 assumed two years earlier: after-tax net present value of US$283 million at 8%, US$521 million of net cash flow, US$317 million of life-of-mine and sustaining capital and an operating cost of US$19.77 a tonne. The incremental step from 5,000 to 10,000 tonnes is worth only US$57.4 million of that at a 27.9% return, so most of the value is in the first doubling, not the second.

    resource reserve update

    162m shC$315m
  5. 28 July

    Restarted Cusi after the COVID-19 shutdown, with testing and quarantine protocols, aiming to ramp to 1,200 tonnes a day by year end - the rate the 2018 expansion study assumed. New chief executive Luis Marchese cites a better silver price and the new high-grade zone, and expects silver to become a meaningful part of the revenue mix again.

    production update

    162m shC$284m
  6. 18 June

    Sierra reported a new high-grade silver zone at Cusi in a northeast-southwest vein system, with drill intercepts of 17.45 m (true width) at 428 g/t silver, 4.90 m at 1,140 g/t, 9.35 m at 304 g/t and 8.75 m at 303 g/t. It said the 40-metre stockwork announced in 2018 was re-interpreted as high-grade veins extending northeast of the Cusi fault, an area previously thought barren.

    drilling result

    162m shC$178m
  7. 27 Apr

    Both governments extended their suspensions: Peru to 10 May and Mexico to 30 May 2020, with Mexican municipalities of low or null transmission exempt from 18 May. The company plans to restart Yauricocha on 11 May and possibly Bolivar on 18 May, Cusi stays in care and maintenance, and 2020 guidance remains suspended.

    regulatory community update

    162m shC$173m
  8. 1 Apr

    Mexico's government suspended non-essential activity, including mining, from 30 March to 30 April 2020; Bolivar is kept to an essential services crew and Cusi is in care and maintenance. This widens the COVID-19 disruption beyond Yauricocha to all three mines, and the company suspended its 2020 guidance (reversing the unchanged guidance of 17 March) and said it is preserving capital and deferring capital programs to improve liquidity.

    regulatory community update

    162m shC$173m
  9. 31 Mar

    With the litho-structural model and the fourth-quarter drilling added, Bolivar's indicated resource rebounded 68% from the December figure to 19.5 million tonnes at 0.78% copper, and inferred rose 29% to 21.5 million tonnes - but at lower grades again. Reserves are 7.5 million tonnes at 0.69% copper, 13.4 g/t silver and 0.22 g/t gold, 5% less tonnage than the 2017 estimate after two years of mining about 2.5 million tonnes, with contained silver down 34%. Bolivar is getting bigger and poorer at the same time.

    resource reserve update

    162m shC$173m
  10. 17 Mar

    Yauricocha stopped mining for a 15-day period under Peru's COVID-19 state of emergency; 470 staff were sent home and 150 remain on site. The company kept 2020 production guidance unchanged, citing above-budget output so far, about 37,000 tonnes of stockpiled ore (over two-thirds of what the mill needs during the stoppage), and room to run the mill above 3,150 tpd.

    regulatory community update

    162m shC$292m
  11. 8 Jan

    Having entered a phase of generating free cash flow, the board approved returning up to US$30 million to shareholders in 2020. Half would go through a US$15 million substantial issuer bid by modified Dutch auction, with the method for the other US$15 million still under review.

    security holder rights change

    162m shC$353m

2019162m shares · C$353m market cap

  1. 31 Dec

    A rare downgrade after two years of increases: Bolivar's indicated resource fell 12% by tonnage to 11.63 million tonnes, with copper grade down 9%, silver down 20% and gold down 17%, to 0.95% copper, 18.1 g/t silver and 0.24 g/t gold. Inferred more than doubled to 16.69 million tonnes but at similarly reduced grades. Lowering the net smelter return cut-off pulled in lower-value material, which is the mirror image of the cut-off changes that had inflated earlier updates.

    resource reserve update

    162m shC$353m
  2. 27 June

    Received the construction permit for the next lift of the Yauricocha tailings dam, following the earlier environmental approval, plus a permit for surface drilling of four Titan 24 targets. Tailings capacity is the practical constraint on any throughput expansion, so this is the permitting step the 5,500 tonne-a-day study depends on.

    drilling result

    163m shC$291m
  3. 11 Mar

    Closed a six-year senior secured corporate facility of up to US$100 million with Banco de Credito del Peru, effective 8 March 2019 and maturing March 2025, priced at three-month LIBOR plus 3.15% with a two-year principal grace period then four years of amortisation. Part goes to repaying existing debt, the rest to Mexican capital projects and working capital; it carries consolidated net leverage and interest cover covenants.

    debt financing

    163m shC$373m
  4. 13 Feb

    SENACE has now approved the Yauricocha tailings facility environmental study that was not approved in December 2018, resolving that delay. The company can now seek a construction permit for the next tailings phase and plan an expanded waste rock facility; the final ITS submission needed for any mine expansion still comes after those steps.

    regulatory community update

    163m shC$381m

2018163m shares · C$502m market cap

  1. 6 Dec

    Peru's environmental authority (SENACE) did not approve the environmental study for expanding the Yauricocha tailings facility; the company has 15 business days to file a re-evaluation. This holds up the permit path to lifting Yauricocha output 20% to 3,600 tpd, and the company says it could mean up to a seven percent temporary shortfall in total daily ore production versus projections. The Bolivar (to 3,600 tpd) and Cusi (to 1,200 tpd) expansions are stated to be unaffected and on track for Q1 2019.

    regulatory community update

    163m shC$502m
  2. 4 Oct

    A hole driven from the 720 level to 1,394.6 metres depth confirmed copper-molybdenum porphyry mineralisation in the quartz monzonite between the Cuye and Esperanza zones - 0.46% copper with 134 ppm molybdenum over 22 metres, and 0.54% copper over 18 metres. Grades are low against the polymetallic ore Yauricocha mines, but a porphyry is a different scale of target and it sits under an operating mine.

    drilling result

    163m shC$530m
  3. 9 July

    The third expansion study in three weeks: Bolivar to 5,000 tonnes a day, with an after-tax net present value of US$214 million at 8%, US$96 million of life-of-mine capital, US$303 million of net cash flow and a 3.4-year payback. Taken together the Cusi, Yauricocha and Bolivar studies contemplate about US$439 million of life-of-mine capital across three mines.

    resource reserve update

    163m shC$558m
  4. 28 June

    A second expansion study nine days later, this time for Yauricocha going to 5,500 tonnes a day: after-tax net present value of US$393 million at 8%, US$238 million of life-of-mine capital, US$532 million of net after-tax cash flow and a 4.1-year payback. Yauricocha is much the larger prize of the two, and the combined capital of the two studies is far beyond what the company was then spending.

    resource reserve update

    163m shC$579m
  5. 18 June

    Preliminary economic assessment for staged expansion of Cusi from 650 to 1,200 tonnes a day by Q1 2019 and 2,700 by mid-2021, a 315% output increase. After-tax NPV was US$92.2 million at 8%, with a 75% IRR, US$104.5 million life-of-mine capital and 4.6-year payback.

    resource reserve update

    163m shC$579m
  6. 7 June

    Six holes drilled from the 1070 level at Contacto Sur Medio, 250 metres east of current operations, hit very high grade zinc: 36% zinc, 9% lead and 175 g/t silver over 5 metres in E-CSM 17-18-03, and 24% zinc with 430 g/t silver over 2 metres in E-CSM 17-18-01. The zone is close to existing production areas and remains open at depth.

    drilling result

    163m shC$579m
  7. 5 June

    The deepest holes ever drilled at Yauricocha, 1.7 kilometres below surface and 650 metres below the current mine level, returned 120 g/t silver, 0.85% lead, 7.78% zinc and 0.34 g/t gold over 2.9 metres between the Esperanza and Cuye zones. Mineralisation continues well below the resource model, and the position between the two zones suggests they may link at depth, consistent with the Titan 24 geophysics.

    drilling result

    163m shC$579m
  8. 4 June

    Four holes from the 1070 level found a new zone at Contacto Oriental, 220 metres east of current workings: 9.53% zinc, 0.28% copper and 0.54% lead over 57 metres, in copper sulphide widths over 50 metres and in hydrothermal breccias, a style of mineralisation not previously recorded at Yauricocha. Proximity to existing development is the point - it could be brought into the mine plan with little new capital.

    drilling result

    163m shC$579m
  9. 22 May

    Bolivar's probable reserves rose 83% to 7,925,000 tonnes at 19 g/t silver, 0.86% copper and 0.25 g/t gold, with indicated resources up 42% to 13,267,000 tonnes and inferred down 11.5% to 8,012,000 tonnes. The company lists the causes plainly: a 24% higher copper price assumption, higher assumed metallurgical recoveries and a higher net smelter return cut-off, alongside new drilling and depletion - so a large part of this is assumption change rather than new metal.

    resource reserve update

    163m shC$571m
  10. 7 Feb

    Cuye hole 13 hit 120 metres of mineralization, a 21-metre polymetallic zone followed by 99 metres at 1.48% copper, 12 g/t silver and 0.7 g/t gold, the widest copper intercept in company history. Fourteen holes are complete from the 1070 level, and disseminated copper in the dioritic intrusive suggests a new, potentially larger exploration concept.

    drilling result

    163m shC$505m
  11. 19 Jan

    2017 output was 14.9 million silver-equivalent ounces, up 26%, from 2.0 million tonnes processed across Yauricocha, Bolivar and Cusi - but copper-equivalent production fell 1% and zinc-equivalent 9%, so the headline gain is largely a silver-equivalent effect. The release also revises the Yauricocha capital spending profile down from what the recently filed technical report assumed.

    production update

    163m shC$484m
  12. 2 Jan

    Cusi's measured and indicated resources rose 129% to 4,557,000 tonnes - 362,000 measured at 225 g/t silver and 4,195,000 indicated at 217 g/t silver - with inferred up 36% to 1,633,000 tonnes at 158 g/t. The company states the increase reflects both new drilling around San Nicolas and Promontorio and a change to a silver-equivalent cut-off grade, so part of the gain is a change in how ounces are counted.

    resource reserve update

    163m shC$484m

2017

  1. 27 Oct

    Yauricocha's reserves more than doubled: 8,917,000 tonnes at 48.3 g/t silver, 1.2% copper, 0.8% lead, 2.4% zinc and 0.5 g/t gold, a 134% tonnage increase on the August 2016 estimate and, at current throughput, more than double the mine life. Contained copper is up 237%, partly from the new Cuye, Mascota and Esperanza zones and partly from a 14% higher copper price assumption. It follows through from September's resource increase and excludes the October Cuye holes, which came in after the cut-off.

    resource reserve update

  2. 4 Oct

    The first four holes testing targets from a Titan 24 geophysical survey at Bolivar hit copper in three zones not previously known to be mineralised: 3.10% copper-equivalent over 25 metres in DB17B602 and 3.03% over 29 metres in DB17B613. Twenty-two priority targets were identified and the top eight are being drilled, pointing to a northward extension of the mine.

    drilling result

  3. 29 Sept

    A step change at Yauricocha: measured and indicated resources rose 68% by tonnage to 13,206,000 tonnes at 62.3 g/t silver, 1.5% copper, 0.9% lead, 2.8% zinc and 0.6 g/t gold, with contained copper up 128% and silver up 72%; inferred rose 77% to 6,632,000 tonnes. Part of the copper gain is real - new copper-rich zones at Cuye, Mascota and Esperanza - and part is a 14% higher copper price assumption, which the release states.

    resource reserve update

  4. 5 Sept

    Twenty-eight holes for 12,300 metres at Bolivar West averaged 2.55% copper-equivalent over 9.1 metres true width, which the company says is well above both the current resource grade and the grade actually being fed to the mill. Individual holes ran to 8.05% copper-equivalent over 17.6 metres, and the zone is still open to the northeast.

    drilling result

  5. 24 Aug

    New Escondida zone found at the Cachi-Cachi area of Yauricocha, described as the largest orebody yet found there, with over 300 metres of strike and skarn mineralisation over 30 metres wide. Best intercepts are zinc-rich: 11.69% zinc over 5.5 metres in ESC 17-09 and 5.05% zinc over 30.2 metres in ESC 17-10. It extends the mine footprint towards Esperanza and is close enough to existing workings to add resources quickly.

    drilling result