History
Northern Dynasty has held the huge Pebble deposit in Alaska alone, won a favourable impact statement, then lost the permit and faced an EPA veto, and now awaits a court ruling.
2018-2019: Going it alone
Northern Dynasty's only asset was the Pebble copper-gold-molybdenum deposit in southwest Alaska. In early 2018 the US Army Corps of Engineers accepted as complete the Clean Water Act permit application filed in December 2017 and began its environmental review. A May 2017 settlement barred the EPA from using its veto power until the final impact statement was done, provided that happened within four years. In February 2018 a new technical report showed a slightly larger resource, 6.456 billion tonnes measured and indicated, because of a change in the planned processing method rather than new drilling.
A partner seemed possible. A December 2017 framework agreement contemplated First Quantum Minerals taking an option to buy in, and the deadline was extended to 30 April 2018. But the two sides could not agree terms and the deal was terminated on 25 May 2018, leaving the company with 100% of Pebble and the whole cost of permitting. Late in 2018 Alaska elected a pro-development governor and voters defeated a salmon-habitat ballot measure the company called anti-Pebble. Pebble also signed land-access deals with two Alaska Native village corporations, in November 2018 and May 2019.
In February 2019 the Corps published a draft impact statement, and the company said its first read showed nothing to stop a permit. A US securities class action filed in 2017 was dismissed in full that month. In July 2019 the EPA withdrew the 2014 proposed veto that had hung over the project for five years.
2019-2020: Funding the push to a permit
The company paid for this stretch with shares. It raised money repeatedly through 2019 and 2020. A December 2019 underwritten offering at US$0.37 a share, with a related raising, added 53,423,824 shares for about US$19.7 million, at a third of the price obtained a year earlier. In July 2020 it raised US$35.3 million at US$1.46 a share. Shares on issue rose from about 313 million at the end of 2019 to about 423 million at the end of 2020.
The permitting news was good at first. A federal judge dismissed a challenge to the EPA's withdrawal in April 2020, the Corps named its preferred development option in May, and the final impact statement, over 2,000 pages, came out on 24 July 2020. In August the company added rhenium to the resource. But in September the head of the Pebble partnership, Tom Collier, resigned after being covertly recorded discussing Alaska officials, and John Shively returned in his place.
2020-2021: The permit refused
On 25 November 2020 the Corps denied the permit, ruling that the mitigation plan filed nine days earlier was non-compliant and that the project was not in the public interest. The company called the decision politically motivated. It filed an appeal in January 2021, and the State of Alaska appealed separately. The Corps accepted the company's appeal as complete in February 2021.
In June 2021 the Ninth Circuit ruled that the environmental groups' challenge to the 2019 withdrawal must be heard, reversing the earlier dismissal. In September the EPA asked the court to vacate its own withdrawal, which would revive the 2014 veto proposal. A preliminary economic assessment of the same mine plan followed, with a 15.7% return and a US$2.3 billion net present value at forecast prices in its completed October version.
2022-2023: The veto
The EPA restarted the veto process in May 2022 and issued its proposed determination in December. In July 2022 the company sold a royalty on future gold and silver rather than issuing shares: US$12 million up front for 2% of payable gold and 6% of payable silver, with further tranches possible up to US$60 million. On 31 January 2023 the EPA issued its final veto, precluding development on over 300 square miles of Alaska land.
In April 2023 the appeal finally succeeded, and the Corps' Pacific Ocean Division sent the application back to the Alaska District, but this was three months after the veto made it moot. A new assessment in September 2023 gave a 20-year base case a post-tax value of US$2.23 billion and a 16.2% return. In November the company retracted comments by its chief executive that may have suggested more advanced study than the assessment supports. In December it closed a US$15 million ten-year convertible note with Kopernik Global Investors, convertible at US$0.3557, plus a private placement of 8,555,000 units. Kopernik's principal Isabel Satra had joined the board in April.
2024-2026: Fighting the veto in court
The US Supreme Court refused in January 2024 to hear Alaska's case. In March 2024 the company filed two federal actions, one to set the veto aside and one seeking compensation. Alaska filed its own action in April, and in June the two Alaska Native corporations that had given Pebble land access sued too. In April 2024 the Corps refused to act on the remand, citing the veto.
In July 2025 the company disclosed settlement talks with the EPA, but no deal came and it asked the court to set a timetable for summary judgment. Royalty money kept it going. The fifth and final US$12 million tranche arrived in October 2025, completing US$60 million and putting the maximum royalty rates in force. Shares on issue stood at about 558 million at the end of 2025. Four plaintiffs filed briefs in October 2025, and the Justice Department defended the veto in February 2026, which the company said surprised it.
As of 26 June 2026, oral argument had been heard the day before and the case was with the judge. The company still held Pebble alone, with the permit refused, the veto in force and no decision yet.
Written from the 54 story beats below (2018 to 26 June 2026), which come from the company's own announcements and filings.