Each one in plain English, with the numbers worked through for a shareholder.
29 Oct 2008quarterly activities report● Neutral
September quarter: Galoc began production on 9 October and was producing 15,000-18,000 bpd, with over 185,000 barrels produced. Philippine farm-out expressions of interest received; Gazzata-1 in Q1 2009; Argentina spud now expected by mid 2009, later than Q1 2009 previously expected.
2008 annual report reviews the year: Galoc first oil, 304.8m shares issued raising A$93.8m, four Turkish wells all successful, and Italy and Argentina entries. Gazzata-1 is targeted for Q1 2009. Mostly restates known events.
After 11 days, both Galoc wells are producing consistent with expectations; steady output of 18,000-20,000 bbl/day is expected within days. The first crude cargo is scheduled for the first week of November.
First oil achieved at Galoc on 9 October 2008 from the Galoc-3 well; Galoc-4 follows in days. This resolves the repeated delays since May. It is Otto's first producing asset (18.28% indirect); operator expects about 20,000 bopd gross.
Gazzata-1 in Italy's Po Valley is now planned to start in January 2009, rather than the earlier Q4 2008, using a rig that became available early. Slot swapping lets drilling follow Galoc cash flow. Otto funds the well to earn 50%; target c.2400 m.
Support vessel CSO Venturer is due at Galoc on 26 September to re-install the repaired subsea equipment, and can work in worse weather than the earlier vessel. Typhoon Hugapit is nearby; about 6-8 days remain before first oil if weather allows.
Otto's own uncertified estimate puts Edirne contingent gas at 8.5 bcf mid case (3.7-14.3 bcf), from six discoveries in six structures, plus 15.7 bcf prospective. First gas still expected mid-2009; Otto estimates US$5-10m a year net (35%).
Operator GPC says the corroded subsea fittings have been replaced and tested. Re-installation awaits suitable weather, then 6-8 days of remaining work before first oil. Another step in a repeatedly delayed start-up (Otto 18.28%).
Good Oil Conference presentation repeats the portfolio: imminent Galoc production at 3000-4000 bopd net to Otto, 6-10 well campaign, farm-outs of Philippine blocks. Says Galoc is worth about US$12m a month to Otto initially. Largely known information.
CEO Parks interview: Galoc first oil expected in coming weeks, building to 15,000-20,000 bopd gross. Otto expects US$50-100m over 12-18 months after repaying GPC debt, to fund 6-14 wells. Delay costs Otto little; cash called adequate. Mostly restates known plans.
Operator GPC says the Galoc mooring and riser system is repaired and reconnected. Corrosion found in some hydraulic fittings must be replaced first, so first oil slips again to mid September, after the earlier August target (Otto 18.28%).
Seabed hazard surveys started in SC50 on 22 August, with SC51 due by mid September. They prepare for two or three wells in first half 2009: Calauit-2, Argao-1 and Bahay-1. This continues Otto's exploration plan.
Incremental's release: plant design went to Uhde Shedden and pipeline design to Boral. The Turkish regulator confirmed the joint venture meets the requirements for a wholesale gas licence. The Botas gas price is about US$14.70/mcf. Duplicate of Otto's release.
The Edirne partners awarded plant design to Uhde Shedden and pipeline design to Boral. Turkey's regulator advised the venture meets the wholesale gas licence requirements, a step towards selling into the national grid. First gas is expected mid 2009 (Otto 35%).
June quarter report: Galoc first oil expected August; Edirne's 2008 campaign finished with four gas discoveries from four wells; Po Valley farm-in concluded with Gazzata-1 planned Q4 2008; Santa Rosa awarded; $15m raised. First gas expected mid 2009.
Replacement riser parts have reached Galoc, and the mooring and riser system is being recovered for inspection before repair. Operator GPC now says first oil is anticipated in early August, with further delicate operations ahead (Otto 18.3%).
Richard King, formerly of Chevron's Gorgon project, Woodside and Duke Energy, joins as Commercial Manager on 28 July 2008. He will handle contracts, farm-in negotiations and debt financing, as Otto negotiates its Philippine farm-outs.
Damage was found in a riser section when it was lifted, so a new section is coming from Singapore. First oil, previously early July, is now probably in August. CEO Parks calls the delay frustrating but says the financial impact on Otto is relatively minimal.
An independent report commissioned by operator Oromin puts Santa Rosa's unrisked prospective oil at 45-381 million barrels, most likely 131.6m. It is an unrisked, undrilled wildcat estimate. Otto's farm-in (32.48% for US$1.4m) still awaits due diligence and a JV agreement; drilling is expected Q1 2009.
Otto restates its Philippine exploration case (20,803 sq km gross) and invites parties to farm in via purchase or carry. Site surveys are due soon, with Calauit tested in first half 2009. Mostly known information; farm-out thread continues.
Arpaci-2A's first zone (340-348m) flowed dry gas at 2.4 MMscf/d, confirming the Arpaci redrill after the plugged Arpaci-2. Two shallower pay zones are still to be tested. Surface facilities are expected by mid 2009 (Otto 35%).
Galoc FPSO reconnection began 1 July, but the retrieval line was damaged in the typhoon disconnection and had to be replaced. No evidence yet of significant damage; first oil timing is still to be advised, after the earlier early-July target.
Incremental's release: Arpaci-2A's first zone (340-348m) flowed dry gas at 2.4 MMscf/d. Two shallower pay zones are to be added later, and surface facilities are targeted for mid 2009. Duplicate of Otto's release.
Incremental's release of the Arpaci-2A result: three potential gas zones between 160m and 350m, about 20m net gas sands, TD 525m. The lowermost zone (340-348m) will be flow tested shortly. Duplicate of Otto's release.
Arpaci-2A, the redrill of Arpaci-2 and last 2008 Edirne well, reached 525m and found three potential gas intervals between 160m and 350m, about 20m net gas sands on preliminary logs. Flow testing of the deepest zone is next (Otto 35%).
Typhoon Fengshen forced the Galoc FPSO to disconnect on 20 June 2008, delaying first oil again. Reconnection is unlikely before 27 June and first oil is now expected in early July. Only minor commissioning work remains. Otto's interest is 18.3%.
Incremental's release of the Arpaci-1 test: water only from 236.8-240.9m, which it says does not affect commerciality. Rig moves to re-drill Arpaci-2 as Arpaci-2A, 30m north, the last 2008 well. Duplicate of Otto's release.
Arpaci-1, the 2006 well, produced only water on test, with no free gas, so it was not commercial. Otto says it sits at the structure's edge and does not hurt the Arpaci field's commerciality, which Arpaci-2 appraised. Arpaci-2A is next.
With added perforations, Kuzey Arpaci-1 flowed dry gas at up to 2.8 MMscf/d from several intervals between 404m and 468m, up from 1.15 MMscf/d. Arpaci-1 is tested next, then Arpaci-2 is re-drilled as Arpaci-2A (Otto 35%).
Incremental's release of the same Kuzey Arpaci-1 result: up to 2.8 MMscf/d from several intervals between 404m and 468m, with two more pay zones to add later. Duplicate of Otto's release.